The Past in Threes - 13.7 Billion years

 

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Table of Contents

Summary

Charts

Pamphlet

Physical

0 

13.7 Gya

4.6 Gya

 

Biological

1.5 Gya

500 Mya

165 Mya

55 Mya

 

Pre Human

18 Mya

6 Mya

2 Mya

675 Kya

 

Oral History

225 Kya

75 Kya

25 Kya

 

Recorded History

-6,600

-900

1000  

 

Modern

1630

1840

1910

1945

1991

 

Future

Postscript

Epilogue - The Future

 

Physical

On earth all continents should reunite in 250 million years (See Illustration). In 5 billion years the Sun should go supernova and the Milky Way Galaxy should collide with the Andromeda Galaxy.  The universe should last at least a trillion years and may never end.

 

Biological

Biological suicide through nuclear war (a cold war concern), creating harmful viruses or inattention to the environment is contrary to our deepest instincts to survive by cooperating.

 

The biggest change would be if we reengineer our own DNA, creating a new, possibly incompatible, species. This may occur through many small changes or more deliberately.

 

Cultural

World Culture - should replace American culture, especially as the Internet, Cell Phones, and Computers keep dropping in price, democracy spreads, income keeps increasing and people switch from farming and building to service jobs (talking and thinking). Travel should once again become open to all. Conflicts over religious and biological issues will likely continue.

 

Demographics – Population will reach a maximum in 2040 and start dropping until the population consists of only those with a strong desire for children, leading to a new growth.

 

Space - Space exploration is not currently a priority. A reversal of demographic trends might spur us to reach to the stars.

 

Fifth Great Transition - in either or both ways:

  1. We may once again become wanderers, populating the galaxy as we once populated the earth. Is anyone else out there?

  2. We may develop into one or more new species with novel concerns and objectives, through deliberate genetic engineering. Are we likely to be compatible?

Notable Events

Year    Event

Physical

These events are certain, unless humans learn ways to intervene:

250 Million Years – All continents join in super continent

4.5 Bill ion years – Sun goes supernova

5 Bill ion years – Milky Way collides with Andromeda

 

Biological

This event depends on a political decision as to legality

Soon    Cloned humans, who are like twins

 

Cultural

2012    Voyagers 1 & 2 leave Solar System, enters Interstellar Space

Current trends make these events highly likely:

2040   Population peaks at 7.7 billion

2100    Population drops to 5 billion (well below today)

 

Great Transitions in Human Activity

This shows how the % of humans in various activities has changed

 

From   To        Hunt   Farm   Build   Service                        Who

65Kya  12Kya  99%                             1%       All

12 Kya 2Kya    10%     85%     3%       2%       Middle East , China

2 Kya   1630    2%       85%     10%     3%       Major Empires          

1630    1945    1%       10%     70%     19%     Advanced Economies

1945    Now    0%       3%       50%     47%     Advanced Economies

2100                0%       1%       2%       97%     All

 

Definitions, examples:

Hunt = Hunt, fish, gather wild vegetables, fruit and berries

Farm = Agriculture, animal husbandry, dairy

Build = Artisans, factory workers, miners

Service (think/talk) = priests, scribes, business, teachers, politicians

 

Acknowledgements:

Three authors have been especially helpful in personal meetings:

Dr. Russell Genet - “The Chimpanzees Who Would Be Ants”

Dr. Peter Richerson - “Not By Genes Alone”

Dr. David Christian - “Maps of Time: An Introduction to Big History”

 

Author: Paul Raynault         Email: Paul@StudentWorldAssembly.org